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July 4, 2026BMC Cardiovascular DisordersOpen Access

Novel TyG index nomogram strongly predicts MACE in post-PCI STEMI patients with a 0.80 C-index.

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Why the study?

Can a nomogram incorporating the TyG index accurately predict MACE risk in STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI?

Population

1022 patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention…

Design

Cohort

Follow-up

up to 2 years

Key result

A novel nomogram integrating the TyG index with clinical markers demonstrated strong discrimination for predicting MACE in STEMI patients after primary PCI (validation C-index 0.80; 95% CI 0.76-0.83).

Authors

JHJinyong HuangJZJunyi ZhangLLLi Li

Discussion

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Overview

May support MACE risk stratification in STEMI post-PCI; leaves open clinical adoption pending prospective validation.

Key Points

  • This research aims to create and validate a nomogram to predict outcomes for STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI using the triglyceride-glucose index and clinical data.
  • Analyzed data from 1022 STEMI patients, divided into training (n=715) and validation cohorts (n=307).
  • Developed a predictive nomogram using LASSO-penalized Cox regression with five key predictors.
  • Evaluated model performance via ROC curve analysis, calibration plots, Harrell’s C-index, and decision curve analysis.
  • Harrell’s C-index was 0.73 (95% CI: 0.70–0.75) for training and 0.80 (95% CI: 0.76–0.83) for validation, indicating strong discrimination.
  • AUC for 1-year and 2-year MACE predictions was 0.77 in the training cohort and 0.86 in the validation cohort, demonstrating excellent accuracy.
  • Subgroup analysis showed AUC values from 0.74 to 0.87 across different age groups, confirming model robustness.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=1,022)

Structured PICO

Can a nomogram incorporating the TyG index accurately predict MACE risk in STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI?

P
Population
1,022 patients with STEMI undergoing primary PCI, analyzed retrospectively to develop and validate a TyG index-based predictive nomogram for 1- and 2-year MACE.
E
Exposure
Predictive nomogram incorporating residual SYNTAX score (rSS), number of affected coronary vessels (VDn), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP)
O
Outcome
1-year and 2-year major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE)composite

Main Result

Effect estimate: C-index 0.80 (95% CI 0.76-0.83)

A novel nomogram incorporating the TyG index, hsCRP, rSS, VDn, and BNP provides accurate risk stratification for MACE in STEMI patients following primary PCI.

Cite This Study

Huang et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) (n=1,022). Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index-based nomogram was evaluated on Model discrimination for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (C-index 0.80, 95% CI 0.76-0.83). A novel nomogram integrating the TyG index with clinical markers demonstrated strong discrimination for predicting MACE in STEMI patients after primary PCI (validation C-index 0.80; 95% CI 0.76-0.83).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a48a47889561a0c2d78dc9chttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12872-026-06156-2
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Association between dynamic changes in the triglyceride-glucose index and prognosis in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction2025 · 5 citations
  2. 2The triglyceride-glucose index is associated with coronary plaque features and clinical outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction2025 · 5 citations
  3. 3Triglyceride glucose index in patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention predicts cardiovascular events: a cohort study2025 · 5 citations
  4. 4Triglyceride-glucose index and mortality risk in patients undergoing PCI2026
  5. 5Prognostic value of the triglyceride–glucose index in patients with premature acute coronary syndrome2026