Exclusion from school and risk of serious violence: a target trial emulation study

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Permanent exclusion is associated with a doubled risk of being convicted for serious violence within a year.
Among those excluded, 4.8% faced serious violence charges compared to 2.4% of controls, showing a significant relationship.
The study used linked national data for a target trial emulation, ensuring robust comparisons between excluded and non-excluded individuals.
These findings highlight the need to address the factors leading to both exclusion and violence among youth.

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Target trial emulation reveals a link between permanent school exclusion and serious violence in young people, suggesting urgent preventive measures.

Cornish et al. (2025) studied this question.

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Target trial emulation reveals a link between permanent school exclusion and serious violence in young people, suggesting urgent preventive measures.