Key result
Higher SBP variability linked to ~74% greater ischemic stroke risk in hemodialysis patients.
Why the study?
Does higher systolic blood pressure variability increase the risk of incident ischemic stroke in patients receiving hemodialysis?
Population
1,136 patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis from 12 centers
Comparison
Higher visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure… vs Lower visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure…
Design
Cohort
Follow-up
median 54 months
Authors
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Captured external expert commentary on this paper, strongest first. Original sources are linked where available.
“Over a median follow-up of about four and a half years, 144 patients had an ischemic stroke, and each 10% increment in systolic variability was associated with roughly a 70% higher stroke risk after adjustment for mean blood pressure, comorbidities, medications, and dialysis factors. The association was most consistent for large artery atherosclerotic stroke, and diastolic variability showed no significant independent association. The practical message is that the pattern of your patient's pre-dialysis readings carries information that the average does not, and a highly erratic chart deserves attention rather than reassurance.”
“Erratic pre-dialysis systolic blood pressure independently predicts ischemic stroke, especially large artery stroke, beyond the mean. Look at the pattern, not just the average.”
May warrant closer BP monitoring in hemodialysis; extends BPV-stroke link but remains hypothesis-generating for trials.
Cohort (n=1,136)
Yes
Does higher systolic blood pressure variability increase the risk of incident ischemic stroke in patients receiving hemodialysis?
Hazard Ratio: 1.74 (95% CI 1.1–2.76)
p-value: p=0.02
Higher visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure variability is an independent risk factor for incident ischemic stroke, particularly large artery atherosclerosis, in patients on maintenance hemodialysis.
Hsieh et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in maintenance hemodialysis (n=1,136). Higher systolic blood pressure variability was evaluated on incident ischemic stroke, including large artery atherosclerosis (LAA) and small vessel occlusion (SVO) (sHR 1.74, 95% CI 1.10-2.76, p=0.02). Higher systolic blood pressure variability was associated with greater risk of incident ischemic stroke in hemodialysis patients (sHR per 10% greater CV 1.74; 95% CI 1.10-2.76; P=0.02).
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