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July 18, 2026BMC Emergency MedicineOpen Access

SVEAT predicts 90-day MACE with ~0.81 AUC, trading lower sensitivity for higher specificity versus HEART and TIMI.

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Why the study?

Does the SVEAT score improve prediction of 90-day MACE compared to HEART and TIMI scores in emergency department patients presenting with acute chest pain?

Population

348 patients presenting to the emergency department with acute chest pain

Comparison

SVEAT score vs HEART score and TIMI score

Design

Cohort

Follow-up

90 days

Key result

The SVEAT score predicted 90-day MACE with an AUC of 0.806, demonstrating higher specificity (0.86) but lower sensitivity (0.56) compared to the HEART and TIMI scores.

Authors

AAAli AyvazAAAkkan AvcıMTMustafa Oğuz Tuğcan

Discussion

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Overview

SVEAT may aid chest pain triage via higher specificity; hypothesis-generating and should not yet change practice pending validation.

Key Points

  • This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the SVEAT score in predicting 90-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients with acute chest pain.
  • Included 348 patients presenting with acute chest pain
  • Measured high-sensitivity troponin I at admission and 2 hours later
  • Calculated SVEAT, HEART, and TIMI scores, with follow-up for MACE over 90 days.
  • MACE occurred in 7.2% of patients during the 90-day follow-up
  • SVEAT score had the highest AUC of 0.806 compared to HEART (0.756) and TIMI (0.753) scores
  • At a cut-off of 4, the SVEAT score had a sensitivity of 0.56 and specificity of 0.86.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=348)

Structured PICO

Does the SVEAT score improve prediction of 90-day MACE compared to HEART and TIMI scores in emergency department patients presenting with acute chest pain?

P
Population
348 patients presenting to the emergency department with acute chest pain, followed for 90 days for the occurrence of major adverse cardiac events.
E
Exposure
SVEAT (Symptoms, Vascular Disease History, Electrocardiography, Age, and Troponin) score
C
Comparator
HEART score and TIMI score
O
Outcome
90-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE)composite

Main Result

Effect estimate: AUC 0.806

The SVEAT score shows higher specificity but lower sensitivity than HEART and TIMI scores for predicting 90-day MACE in ED patients with chest pain, suggesting potential utility as a rule-in rather than a standalone screening tool.

Limitations

  • Relatively low sensitivity limits its utility as a standalone screening tool.
  • relatively low sensitivity, which limits its utility as a standalone screening tool

Cite This Study

Ayvaz et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Acute chest pain (n=348). SVEAT score vs. HEART and TIMI scores was evaluated on 90-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE) (AUC 0.806). The SVEAT score predicted 90-day MACE with an AUC of 0.806, demonstrating higher specificity (0.86) but lower sensitivity (0.56) compared to the HEART and TIMI scores.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a5b178d18557b26c2039b2dhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12873-026-01685-7
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Comparison of SVEAT and HEART scoring in acute chest pain2025
  2. 2Improving chest pain risk assessment: validation of HEART, TIMI, GRACE, EDACS-ADP, and HET for MACE prediction in the emergency department2025 · 7 citations
  3. 3ASSESSING THE UTILITY OF THE HEART SCORE IN THE ERA OF HIGH-SENSITIVITY TROPONIN2025
  4. 4Predictive Performance of the HEART Score for Acute Coronary Syndrome with Significant Coronary Stenosis in Patients with Non–ST-Elevation Acute Chest Pain2026
  5. 5Validation of a 0‐/2‐Hour High‐Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin Algorithm for Suspected Acute Coronary Syndrome in the Emergency Department2025 · 3 citations