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July 8, 2026Journal of Cardiovascular Translational ResearchOpen Access

Predicting Mortality After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in a Multiethnic Southeast Asian Population: Insights From Machine Learning

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Why the study?

Can machine learning models accurately predict in-hospital, 30-day, and 1-year mortality in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention?

Population

29,521 patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention, including high-risk acute coronary syndrome…

Design

Cohort

Follow-up

1 year

Key result

Machine learning models demonstrated high discrimination for predicting in-hospital mortality after non-elective PCI, with ROC-AUC ranging from 0.927 to 0.943 in external validation.

Authors

YLYih Miin LiewYCYin Kia ChiamPNPei Ling Ngo

Discussion

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Overview

ML models may aid ACS PCI mortality risk stratification; leaves open clinical utility pending prospective validation.

Key Points

  • This research aims to identify predictors of mortality after percutaneous coronary intervention in high-risk patients using machine learning models.
  • Analyzed nationwide registry data from 2007 to 2020, involving 29,521 patients.
  • Compared seven machine learning models for predicting mortality at different time points: in-hospital, 30-day, and 1-year.
  • Performed logistic recalibration and validated results using external cohorts (TEST1 and TEST2).
  • In-hospital mortality discrimination ranged from 0.927 to 0.943 in TEST1 and 0.865 to 0.884 in TEST2.
  • For 30-day mortality, ROC-AUC ranged from 0.902 to 0.923 in TEST1 and 0.753 to 0.838 in TEST2.
  • Key predictors consistently identified were age, haemodynamic status, and renal function.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=29,521)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Can machine learning models accurately predict in-hospital, 30-day, and 1-year mortality in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention?

P
Population
29,521 patients undergoing non-elective percutaneous coronary intervention for acute coronary syndrome from a nationwide registry in Malaysia (2007–2020).
E
Exposure
Seven machine learning (ML) models for predicting mortality
O
Outcome
In-hospital, 30-day, and 1-year mortalityhard clinical

Main Result

Effect estimate: ROC-AUC 0.927 to 0.943 (in-hospital, TEST1)

Machine learning models can accurately predict short- and long-term mortality following PCI in a multiethnic Southeast Asian population, identifying age, hemodynamic status, and renal function as key predictors.

Cite This Study

Liew et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Ischemic heart disease / Acute coronary syndrome (n=29,521). Machine learning (ML) models was evaluated on In-hospital, 30-day, and 1-year mortality (ROC-AUC 0.927 to 0.943 (in-hospital, TEST1)). Machine learning models demonstrated high discrimination for predicting in-hospital mortality after non-elective PCI, with ROC-AUC ranging from 0.927 to 0.943 in external validation.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a4de835d2ea289ef6282fbehttps://doi.org/10.1007/s12265-026-10812-5
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Enhancing one-year mortality prediction in STEMI patients post-PCI: an interpretable machine learning model with risk stratification2025
  2. 2Risk Prediction of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events Within One Year After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome: Machine Learning–Based Time-to-Event Analysis2025
  3. 3Comparing the Performance of Machine Learning Models and Conventional Risk Scores for Predicting Major Adverse Cardiovascular Cerebrovascular Events After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis2025 · 10 citations
  4. 4Comparison of the Prognostic Performance of Various Machine Learning Models in Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction: Results from the COREA-AMI Registry2025
  5. 5Predicting 3-year mortality after myocardial infarction in a structured care program: A comparative analysis of Cox regression and machine learning models2026