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December 8, 2025Emergency Medicine JournalOpen Access

Shifting patterns in emergency department attendance: a time series analysis

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Authors

PAPaul Aylin

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Overview

Time series analysis reveals ED attendance trends among multimorbidity populations, indicating impact of pandemic shifts.

Key Points

  • This study aims to assess trends in emergency department attendance in Northwest London before, during, and after the pandemic.
  • Conducted a segmented time-series quasi-Poisson regression analysis of weekly ED attendance
  • Used data from Whole System Integrated Care data warehouse in NWL
  • Stratified analysis by age, sex, and deprivation index
  • Examined attendance trends across multimorbidity profiles.
  • Total of 3,365,279 ED attendances recorded from February 2017 to September 2023
  • Annual growth rate of 3.4% pre-pandemic
  • Post-pandemic stabilisation in overall attendance, but rises in older age groups and multimorbidity patients
  • Attendance declined among the least deprived groups.

Cite This Study

Paul Aylin (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/693624ce4fa91c937236cf26https://doi.org/10.1136/emermed-2024-214412
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