The electoral politics of immigration and crime

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The study reveals how concerns over immigrant crime shape voting behavior, indicating a shift towards right-wing parties among progressive voters.

Concern about immigrant crime drives leftist cosmopolitans to vote for right-wing parties, increasing vote intention.
Survey data from 14 Western European countries highlights a mismatch between voter attitudes and party positions.
A panel survey in Germany confirmed that leftist voters are more conservative on immigrant crime than their parties.
The findings reveal significant implications for electoral outcomes, as immigration concerns reshape traditional voting patterns.

Amanda J. Ashworth (2025) studied this question.

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View Full Paper

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Authors

The study reveals how concerns over immigrant crime shape voting behavior, indicating a shift towards right-wing parties among progressive voters.

Concern about immigrant crime drives leftist cosmopolitans to vote for right-wing parties, increasing vote intention.
Survey data from 14 Western European countries highlights a mismatch between voter attitudes and party positions.
A panel survey in Germany confirmed that leftist voters are more conservative on immigrant crime than their parties.
The findings reveal significant implications for electoral outcomes, as immigration concerns reshape traditional voting patterns.

Amanda J. Ashworth (2025) studied this question.

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