A Scenario-Based Approach to the Legal Regulation of Migration Policy: Shaping a Security Environment in Ukraine During Wartime

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Scenario analysis reveals migration trends in Ukraine amidst war, suggesting a strategic legal framework for security.

Migration policy adjustments support national recovery and security in Ukraine amidst ongoing conflict.
Three migration scenarios were developed based on the war's progression and EU integration stance, influencing policy direction.
Scenario analysis employing the Shell matrix approach identified critical uncertainties impacting Ukraine's migration landscape.
The proposed Soft Return program integrates migration policy with national security, focusing on legal reforms and diaspora engagement.

Blikhar et al. (2025) studied this question.

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