September 10, 2025Research & PoliticsOpen Access

When the party is over: Explaining the rise of the Spanish far-right SALF

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Observational analysis found SALF’s rise highlights voter dissatisfaction with democracy in Spain, suggesting a shift towards far-right ideology.

SALF's electoral debut captured 4.6% of the vote, outperforming major parties, revealing significant public support.
SALF voters self-identify as more centrist compared to VOX supporters, yet share extreme policy positions, indicating complex voter dynamics.
The analysis is based on individual-level data from approximately 38,000 respondents across eleven surveys, providing robust insights into voter behaviors.
SALF's success indicates deeper societal disillusionment with political structures, especially among young male voters seeking alternatives.

Padilla et al. (2025) studied this question.

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Observational analysis found SALF’s rise highlights voter dissatisfaction with democracy in Spain, suggesting a shift towards far-right ideology.