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September 10, 2025Tobacco Control

Differential effects of tobacco taxation across educational groups: evidence from Poland

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Authors

MAMaciej AlbinowskiPLPiotr LewandowskiHRHana Ross

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Overview

Analysis reveals differential responses to excise hikes in smoking prevalence among educational groups, indicating socioeconomic implications.

Key Points

  • Excise tax increases lower smoking prevalence more significantly among non-tertiary-educated individuals, suggesting economic sensitivity.
  • A 10% rise in cigarette price relative to income results in 2.2% fewer smokers in less-educated groups, reflecting a 0.61 pp reduction in purchases.
  • Forecasts show that a 21% tax hike will cut smoker count by 250,000 and reduce consumption by 8.4% by 2027.
  • Non-economic factors are more influential in reducing smoking among tertiary-educated populations, indicating complex behavioral dynamics.

Cite This Study

Albinowski et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68c23c20b210217d6478850dhttps://doi.org/10.1136/tc-2025-059513
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