This research shows that assimilating FY-3D MWRI and MWHS-2 data improves typhoon track and intensity predictions.
This study investigates the impact of assimilating FY-3D Microwave Radiation Imager (MWRI) radiance data into the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, utilizing a 3D-Var data assimilation system, on the forecast accuracy of Typhoon Muifa (2022). The research focuses on the selection of data from different channels, land/ocean coverage, and orbits of the MWRI, along with the synergistic assimilation strategy with MWHS-2 data. Ten assimilation experiments were conducted, starting from 0600 UTC on 14 September 2022, covering a 42 h forecast period. The results show that after assimilating the microwave radiometer data, the brightness temperature deviation in the ocean area was significantly reduced compared to the simulation without data assimilation. This led to an improvement in the accuracy of typhoon track and intensity predictions, particularly for predictions beyond 24 h. Furthermore, the assimilation of land data and single-orbit data (particularly from the western orbit) further enhanced forecast accuracy, while the joint assimilation of MWHS-2 and MWRI data yielded additional error reductions. These findings underscore the potential of satellite data assimilation in improving typhoon forecasting and highlight the need for optimal land observation and channel selection techniques.
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Shen et al. (2025) studied this question.