Modeling shows severe mass loss for Alpine glaciers under current climate, highlighting changes in ice-flow dynamics.
It is essential to improve our understanding of glaciers and their effects on sea levels, ecosystems, and freshwater resources in a changing climate. To this end, we implemented a framework for three-dimensional, high-resolution, regional-scale glacier simulations in the Community Ice Sheet Model (CISM v2.2), using higher-order ice-flow dynamics previously applied to the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Here, we present the modeling framework and its application to the European Alps glaciers at a 100 m resolution, using protocols from the third phase of the Glacier Model Intercomparison Project (GlacierMIP3). The model results align with observations and other glacier models, indicating that Alpine glaciers will lose more than half their current mass if present-day climate conditions persist, with near-total loss under warmer scenarios. This new development integrates glacier and ice sheet systems in a common modeling framework and will support advances in coupled land ice–Earth system assessments across timescales in the Community Earth System Model (CESM).
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Minallah et al. (2025) studied this question.
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