Access Denied? The Sino-American Contest for Military Primacy in Asia

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The U.S. military strategy for Taiwan may lead to significant risk of defeat, highlighting its vulnerabilities.
Current assessments show that existing U.S. air power strategies are unlikely to succeed and may escalate tensions.
A proposed strategy involves hardening air bases and improving missile defenses to better protect U.S. interests.
U.S. national security policy is at a critical juncture, requiring reevaluation of its military posture in East Asia.

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Analysis reveals U.S. military approach towards Taiwan risks catastrophic defeat, suggesting enhanced defense strategies.

Anderson et al. (2025) studied this question.

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